It’s looking more and more likely that The Dark Knight will not be getting a Best Picture nomination at the Academy Awards (I can still hope though). The Golden Globes and the Screen Actors Guild Awards are the biggest forecasters of the Oscars. As we all already know from my previous post, The Dark Knight did not garner a nomination in BEST PICTURE DRAMA. It also failed to garner a SAG nomination in BEST ENSEMBLE – the guild’s equivilant to BEST PICTURE. The critics are bestowing their love upon it, but it looks like the industry isn’t.
So let’s take a look at the SAG nominees for BEST ENSEMBLE…
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Compared to the Globe’s Drama nominees, Doubt and Milk take the place of Revolutionary Road and The Reader. I’m predicting (….I really get nervous predicting these things…) that Revolutionary Road will get the nod over Doubt, but that Milk will get in over The Reader. The most exciting thing about this season is that there still isn’t a clear front runner for who’s going to win.
So…. SAGs for Actor….
Richard Jenkins, The Visitor
Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon
Sean Penn, Milk
Brad Pitt, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler
Richard Jenkins makes a late surge here, overtaking Leonardo DiCaprio’s Revolutionary Road nod at the Globes. I’m really, REALLY hoping that this is the year Leo finally wins his Oscar, so I’m hoping that he makes it into the final five. And I think of these five, Jenkins is the only one who might not get into the Oscar circle.
Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married
Angelina Jolie, Changeling
Melissa Leo, Frozen River
Meryl Streep, Doubt
Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road
Melissa Leo overtakes I’ve Loved You So Long‘s Kristin Scott Thomas, who got the Globe nod. I really think that Leo will end up in the final five at the Oscars over Scott Thomas. I’m betting these are going to be Oscar’s five. And I’m betting Hathaway takes the award, though I’m REALLY hoping Winslet finally wins. Though she might have a shot with The Reader too.
Onto Supporting Actor…
Josh Brolin, Milk
Robert Downey, Jr, Tropic Thunder
Phillip Seymore Hoffman, Doubt
Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
Dev Patel, Slumdog Millionaire
These noms are pretty different from the Globe nods. Hoffman, Ledger, and Downey all recieved nods in both. Patel and Brolin are the newbs here, replacing Tom Cruise in Tropic Thunder and Ralph Fiennes in The Duchess. Brolin’s nod here was expected considering most were baffled by his absence on the Globe’s list, and I bet he makes it into the final five come Oscar time. Dev Patel is the wild card here. Most are arguing he doesn’t belong in this category, but in the lead category. It’s very possible he won’t get nominated at the Oscars, leaving that fifth spot wide open, because neither Fiennes nor Cruise are locks. And it’s looking like Ledger will probably win the Oscar. He’s taking nearly all the pre-cursor wins so far.
And Supporting Actress….
Amy Adams, Doubt
Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Viola Davis, Doubt
Taraji P. Henson, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Kate Winslet, The Reader
The Supporting Actress race is usually the most interesting race of Oscar night. Lots of unknowns mixing in with past nominees, the winner is often hard to guess. And it’s also often hard to guess who the final Oscar nominees will be. Tarji P. Henson got the SAG nod over Marisa Tomei in The Wrestler (who got the Globe nod). They’re both getting equal attention from the critics, so either of them could be the fifth. And don’t count out Rosemarie DeWitt in Rachel Getting Married. The winner here is even more unsure. This could be where Winslet takes the Oscar (God, I want her to have an Oscar so bad). But it’s such a wide open category. I just really hope Amy Adams does get nominated so I can call her a two time Oscar nominee. Because Amy Adams is amazing.
And the Oscar anticipation just keeps on growing.